2019 General Elections and Delhi

Hardly 48 hours left for the Delhi nomination closure, but AAP and Congress are still confused on the alliance. Both have been deliberating for over 3 months now, Mamata, Pawar, Naidu intervened on multiple occasions to make them resolve their differences. Negotiations are on over last month, we are witnessing multiple turns and u-turns, and its fun to watch the Jugalbandi on twitter. 

Kejriwal today exists because of the Congress. We remember him roaming around and making tall claims about the truckload of proofs against Sheila Dixit and Robert Varda. But appears like he has either lost the proofs or he was simply lying then. He is conveniently willing to forget the past and make friendship with Congress just to defeat Modi. This may be one of the kind of holy alliance where party with 67 MLAs (out of 70) is literally begging for an alliance with the party with 0 MLAs.

Modi seems to have created the fear in them. ये डर अच्छा लगा ! 

Truth is that its question of Kejriwal's survival now. He knows his defeat is eminent. But he is desperate to enter Loksabha, be visible and also be part of the contenders for the coveted PM Chair. Also assembly elections are round the corner and defeat now for sure will begin his journey to the history books of Delhi even before the academic year ends. Kejriwal is just not giving up yet and he is negotiating hard with the Congress and also not letting it appear as his desperation. May be Congress knows him by now and they are also not giving in easily.

Having said that, AAP and Congress will partner for upcoming 2019 Delhi election as both have nothing to lose. For them Modi's defeat is above everything else in life, even before the country.

Few hours from now, both parties will be shaking hands and smiling. Congress will fight on 2 seats and AAP on 5 seats.

Best of Luck Delhi!

My Prediction for 2019 Elections

My prediction for 2019 NDA seats

NDA will need another 15 seats to form the government. I guess BJD or YSRC should be the ideal choice.

However my predictions have never ever come true earlier. :-( and I am worried this time as well.

State	Party
	YSRC	KCR	BJD	NDA		Total
Andhra	10			1		25
Arunachal				2		2
Aassam				10		14
BIHAR				30		40
Chatisgadh				5		11
GOA				2		2
gujrat				23		26
haryana				6		10
HP				3		4
jammu				2		6
jharkhand				5		14
Karnataka				20		28
kerala				2		20
MP				20		29
Maharashtra				35		48
manipur				1		2
meghalaya				1		2
Mizoram				0		1
Nagaland				1		1
Odisha			11	10		21
punjab				2		13
rajastan				15		25
sikkim				0		1
TN				5		39
Telangana		12		1		17
Tripura				2		2
UP				40		80
Uttarakhand				3		5
West bengal				8		42
Andaman				1		1
chandigadh				1		1
Dadra Nagar Haveli				1		1
Daman				1		1
delhi				3		7
Lakshdweep						1
Total	10	12	11	262		542